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NFL · Week 6 · Oct 15 – Oct 20, 2025
LOCKED · published 2026-05-21 · 6/17 hit (35.3%). These picks are immutable — they were committed to the public log before any games started.

NFL Week 6 Sleeper Picks
Underowned plays the model loves.

The dfsforge sleeper engine scores every player on a six-factor composite: volume trend, ADP mispricing, matchup, game environment, health, and momentum. Below are the picks for Week 6 of the 2025 NFL season, broken down by position.

15
sleepers identified
1.0
top composite
90.1
avg composite
2/4
positions covered
QB

Top QB sleepers

01
Matthew Stafford
LAR
QB
303.8
composite
projection 303.8
volume trend—
underrated vs ADP—
matchup—
game environment—
health—
momentum—
  • miss — actual 9.3 pts
02
Jaxson Dart
NYG
QB
300.8
composite
projection 300.9
volume trend—
underrated vs ADP—
matchup—
game environment—
health—
momentum—
  • hit — actual 23.6 pts
03
Tyler Shough
NO
QB
265.2
composite
projection 264.8
volume trend—
underrated vs ADP—
matchup—
game environment—
health—
momentum—
  • did not play this week
04
Bryce Young
CAR
QB
237.7
composite
projection 237.5
volume trend—
underrated vs ADP—
matchup—
game environment—
health—
momentum—
  • hit — actual 18.5 pts
05
Aaron Rodgers
QB
234.9
composite
projection 235.4
volume trend—
underrated vs ADP—
matchup—
game environment—
health—
momentum—
  • miss — actual 17.5 pts
RB

Top RB sleepers

No qualifying players this week — projections may still be loading.
WR

Top WR sleepers

01
Puka Nacua
LAR
WR
357.5
composite
projection 356.9
volume trend—
underrated vs ADP—
matchup—
game environment—
health—
momentum—
  • miss — actual 4.8 pts
02
Davante Adams
LAR
WR
247.4
composite
projection 246.8
volume trend—
underrated vs ADP—
matchup—
game environment—
health—
momentum—
  • miss — actual 7.9 pts
03
Chris Olave
NO
WR
244.0
composite
projection 244.7
volume trend—
underrated vs ADP—
matchup—
game environment—
health—
momentum—
  • hit — actual 15.8 pts
04
Tee Higgins
CIN
WR
218.2
composite
projection 218.2
volume trend—
underrated vs ADP—
matchup—
game environment—
health—
momentum—
  • hit — actual 11.2 pts
05
Stefon Diggs
WR
217.5
composite
projection 217.1
volume trend—
underrated vs ADP—
matchup—
game environment—
health—
momentum—
  • miss — actual 5.8 pts
TE

Top TE sleepers

No qualifying players this week — projections may still be loading.
K

Top K sleepers

No model coverage for kickers yet.
DEF

Top DEF sleepers

No model coverage for team defenses yet.
methodology

Every score is a weighted composite of seven measurable signals. We do not hide rankings behind opinion -- if you disagree with a pick, the factor bars tell you which inputs drove it. See the full algorithm on the methodology section or the live sleeper finder for an interactive version that updates as projections, injuries, and Vegas lines move during the week.