Bo NixFITTED MODEL

QB · DEN · NFL

16.1

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

14%

Boom (1.5x)

20%

Bust (0.6x)

18.5

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

passing yards · completions · pass attempts · rushing yards · carries

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Pass Yds	Rush Yds
2025 wk 18	vs LAC	10.5	141	49
2025 wk 17	@ KC	19.5	182	42
2025 wk 16	vs JAX	15.2	352	11
2025 wk 15	vs GB	29.1	302	10
2025 wk 14	@ LV	16.0	212	15
2025 wk 13	@ WAS	16.4	321	16
2025 wk 11	vs KC	12.6	295	8
2025 wk 10	vs LV	5.8	150	-2
2025 wk 9	@ HOU	18.5	173	36
2025 wk 8	vs DAL	23.8	247	-1
2025 wk 7	vs NYG	40.0	279	48
2025 wk 6	@ NYJ	13.4	174	24
2025 wk 5	@ PHI	17.9	242	22
2025 wk 4	vs CIN	25.7	326	7
2025 wk 3	@ LAC	13.4	153	33

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts