Trey LanceFITTED MODEL

QB · LAC · NFL

0.5

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

41%

Boom (1.5x)

57%

Bust (0.6x)

3.3

Avg (last 8)

Stat forecasts

passing yards · completions · pass attempts · rushing yards · carries

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Pass Yds	Rush Yds
2025 wk 18	@ DEN	8.3	136	69
2025 wk 13	vs LV	0.8	9	4
2025 wk 11	@ JAX	1.6	37	1
2025 wk 5	vs WAS	2.9	44	11
2024 wk 18	vs WAS	12.4	244	26
2024 wk 17	@ PHI	0.1	1	1
2024 wk 12	@ WAS	-0.3	0	-3
2024 wk 10	vs PHI	0.5	21	17

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts