Derek CarrFITTED MODEL

QB · · NFL

15.8

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

14%

Boom (1.5x)

21%

Bust (0.6x)

16.6

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

passing yards · completions · pass attempts · rushing yards · carries

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Pass Yds	Rush Yds
2024 wk 14	@ NYG	12.0	219	12
2024 wk 13	vs LAR	14.6	184	12
2024 wk 11	vs CLE	18.7	248	8
2024 wk 10	vs ATL	20.5	269	17
2024 wk 9	@ CAR	13.4	236	0
2024 wk 5	@ KC	12.6	165	0
2024 wk 4	@ ATL	8.1	239	5
2024 wk 3	vs PHI	8.0	142	3
2024 wk 2	@ DAL	21.8	243	1
2024 wk 1	vs CAR	21.3	200	13
2023 wk 18	vs ATL	27.2	264	6
2023 wk 17	@ TB	15.6	197	-3
2023 wk 16	@ LAR	25.0	319	2
2023 wk 15	vs NYG	20.3	218	-4
2023 wk 14	vs CAR	10.8	119	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts