J.J. McCarthyFITTED MODEL

QB · MIN · NFL

0.6

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

41%

Boom (1.5x)

57%

Bust (0.6x)

12.5

Avg (last 10)

Stat forecasts

passing yards · completions · pass attempts · rushing yards · carries

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Pass Yds	Rush Yds
2025 wk 18	vs GB	8.0	182	7
2025 wk 16	@ NYG	8.3	108	20
2025 wk 15	@ DAL	23.5	250	15
2025 wk 14	vs WAS	20.4	163	19
2025 wk 12	@ GB	0.5	87	10
2025 wk 11	vs CHI	6.0	150	0
2025 wk 10	vs BAL	14.7	248	48
2025 wk 9	@ DET	18.9	143	12
2025 wk 2	vs ATL	2.8	158	25
2025 wk 1	@ CHI	22.2	143	25

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts