Tyler ShoughFITTED MODEL

QB · NO · NFL

13.8

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

19%

Boom (1.5x)

22%

Bust (0.6x)

14.4

Avg (last 11)

Stat forecasts

passing yards · completions · pass attempts · rushing yards · carries

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Pass Yds	Rush Yds
2025 wk 18	@ ATL	21.8	259	34
2025 wk 17	@ TEN	21.9	333	6
2025 wk 16	vs NYJ	17.1	308	8
2025 wk 15	vs CAR	18.1	272	32
2025 wk 14	@ TB	21.3	144	55
2025 wk 13	@ MIA	17.4	239	18
2025 wk 12	vs ATL	7.9	243	22
2025 wk 10	@ CAR	19.0	282	-3
2025 wk 9	@ LAR	9.2	176	2
2025 wk 8	vs TB	4.3	128	12
2025 wk 3	@ SEA	0.0	0	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts