Sam LaPortaFITTED MODEL

TE · DET · NFL

11.3

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

21%

Boom (1.5x)

30%

Bust (0.6x)

13.1

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 10	@ WAS	10.3	53	5
2025 wk 9	vs MIN	21.7	97	6
2025 wk 7	vs TB	4.5	15	3
2025 wk 6	@ KC	16.5	55	5
2025 wk 5	@ CIN	20.2	92	5
2025 wk 4	vs CLE	6.9	39	3
2025 wk 3	@ BAL	7.3	33	4
2025 wk 2	vs CHI	5.6	26	3
2025 wk 1	@ GB	13.9	79	6
2024 wk 18	vs MIN	13.3	63	7
2024 wk 17	@ SF	18.4	64	6
2024 wk 16	@ CHI	14.3	43	4
2024 wk 15	vs BUF	18.1	111	7
2024 wk 14	vs GB	10.4	54	5
2024 wk 13	vs CHI	15.6	6	3

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts