Justin HerbertFITTED MODEL

QB · LAC · NFL

15.4

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

16%

Boom (1.5x)

19%

Bust (0.6x)

17.3

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

passing yards · completions · pass attempts · rushing yards · carries

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Pass Yds	Rush Yds
2025 wk 17	vs HOU	15.1	236	37
2025 wk 16	@ DAL	30.2	300	42
2025 wk 15	@ KC	10.4	210	0
2025 wk 14	vs PHI	12.2	139	66
2025 wk 13	vs LV	12.8	151	8
2025 wk 11	@ JAX	3.3	81	21
2025 wk 10	vs PIT	14.7	220	19
2025 wk 9	@ TEN	27.7	250	57
2025 wk 8	vs MIN	25.3	227	62
2025 wk 7	vs IND	27.9	420	31
2025 wk 6	@ MIA	18.8	264	2
2025 wk 5	vs WAS	14.6	166	60
2025 wk 4	@ NYG	12.5	203	24
2025 wk 3	vs DEN	14.6	300	6
2025 wk 2	@ LV	18.8	242	31

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts