Michael WilsonFITTED MODEL

WR · ARI · NFL

10.1

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

23%

Boom (1.5x)

34%

Bust (0.6x)

14.1

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

rushing yards · receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	@ LAR	20.9	99	5
2025 wk 17	@ CIN	19.9	89	5
2025 wk 16	vs ATL	13.2	52	2
2025 wk 15	@ HOU	16.4	54	5
2025 wk 14	vs LAR	37.2	142	11
2025 wk 13	@ TB	6.6	36	3
2025 wk 12	vs JAX	21.8	118	10
2025 wk 11	vs SF	33.5	185	15
2025 wk 10	@ SEA	7.4	34	4
2025 wk 9	@ DAL	9.1	61	3
2025 wk 7	vs GB	7.0	40	3
2025 wk 6	@ IND	8.4	44	4
2025 wk 5	vs TEN	3.6	16	2
2025 wk 4	vs SEA	4.5	15	3
2025 wk 3	@ SF	1.5	5	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts