Nelson AgholorFITTED MODEL

WR · · NFL

4.6

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

23%

Boom (1.5x)

47%

Bust (0.6x)

4.1

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

rushing yards · receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2024 wk 15	@ NYG	3.6	26	1
2024 wk 13	vs PHI	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 11	@ PIT	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 10	vs CIN	7.6	6	1
2024 wk 9	vs DEN	3.9	29	1
2024 wk 8	@ CLE	12.6	36	3
2024 wk 7	@ TB	3.0	20	1
2024 wk 6	vs WAS	3.5	25	1
2024 wk 5	@ CIN	1.4	4	1
2024 wk 4	vs BUF	3.0	10	2
2024 wk 3	@ DAL	6.6	56	1
2024 wk 2	vs LV	2.3	13	1
2024 wk 1	@ KC	1.6	6	1
2023 wk 18	vs PIT	8.9	39	5
2023 wk 17	vs MIA	3.8	18	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts