Kyler MurrayFITTED MODEL

QB · MIN · NFL

16.8

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

13%

Boom (1.5x)

19%

Bust (0.6x)

16.8

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

passing yards · completions · pass attempts · rushing yards · carries

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Pass Yds	Rush Yds
2025 wk 5	vs TEN	15.3	220	25
2025 wk 4	vs SEA	16.1	200	41
2025 wk 3	@ SF	14.1	159	37
2025 wk 2	vs CAR	14.0	220	32
2025 wk 1	@ NO	18.3	163	38
2024 wk 18	vs SF	27.9	242	22
2024 wk 17	@ LAR	16.0	321	32
2024 wk 16	@ CAR	20.4	202	63
2024 wk 15	vs NE	10.1	224	11
2024 wk 14	vs SEA	18.0	259	16
2024 wk 13	@ MIN	15.2	260	48
2024 wk 12	@ SEA	10.3	285	9
2024 wk 10	vs NYJ	28.7	266	21
2024 wk 9	vs CHI	4.8	154	6
2024 wk 8	@ MIA	22.2	307	19

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts