C.J. StroudFITTED MODEL

QB · HOU · NFL

13.6

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

19%

Boom (1.5x)

22%

Bust (0.6x)

14.3

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

passing yards · completions · pass attempts · rushing yards · carries

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Pass Yds	Rush Yds
2025 wk 18	vs IND	17.3	169	5
2025 wk 17	@ LAC	13.8	244	0
2025 wk 16	vs LV	11.5	187	0
2025 wk 15	vs ARI	23.4	260	10
2025 wk 14	@ KC	12.6	203	5
2025 wk 13	@ IND	9.0	276	0
2025 wk 9	vs DEN	4.4	79	12
2025 wk 8	vs SF	21.7	318	30
2025 wk 7	@ SEA	13.7	229	25
2025 wk 5	@ BAL	28.8	244	30
2025 wk 4	vs TEN	18.4	233	11
2025 wk 3	@ JAX	10.4	204	22
2025 wk 2	vs TB	15.0	207	27
2025 wk 1	@ LAR	8.7	188	32
2024 wk 18	@ TEN	6.0	50	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts