Reed SheppardFITTED MODEL

G · HOU · NBA

27.3

Projection

13.4

Floor (p10)

41.9

Ceiling (p90)

11%

Boom (1.5x)

17%

Bust (0.6x)

29.0

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

points · rebounds · assists · three-pointers

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
2025-12-30	vs IND	22.2	13	1	3	1
2025-12-28	vs CLE	47.2	18	3	8	4
2025-12-26	@ LAL	19.5	13	2	1	1
2025-12-24	@ LAC	16.2	8	1	3	1
2025-12-22	@ SAC	24.0	15	2	4	4
2025-12-20	@ DEN	52.0	28	2	6	6
2025-12-19	@ NO	30.0	11	4	7	3
2025-12-16	@ DEN	26.8	14	3	1	3
2025-12-12	vs LAC	20.5	10	4	2	2
2025-12-07	@ DAL	18.5	12	2	3	2
2025-12-06	vs PHX	29.2	10	5	6	2
2025-12-04	vs SAC	20.0	5	6	1	1
2025-12-02	@ UTAH	18.0	9	2	2	3
2025-11-30	@ UTAH	34.0	9	6	4	1
2025-11-27	@ GS	56.8	31	9	5	4

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts