Mark WilliamsFITTED MODEL

C · PHX · NBA

26.4

Projection

13.4

Floor (p10)

41.1

Ceiling (p90)

12%

Boom (1.5x)

16%

Bust (0.6x)

29.9

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

points · rebounds · assists · three-pointers

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	PTS	REB	AST	3PM
2025-12-31	@ CLE	17.8	2	9	2	0
2025-12-28	@ NO	20.0	10	8	0	0
2025-12-27	@ NO	49.2	24	13	2	0
2025-12-24	vs LAL	36.2	18	9	2	0
2025-12-21	@ GS	17.8	4	5	1	0
2025-12-19	vs GS	16.0	6	4	1	0
2025-12-15	vs LAL	34.5	20	6	1	0
2025-12-11	@ OKC	18.8	9	5	1	0
2025-12-09	@ MIN	39.8	22	7	3	1
2025-12-06	@ HOU	16.8	10	3	0	0
2025-12-02	@ LAL	28.0	13	6	1	0
2025-11-29	@ OKC	30.0	13	14	0	0
2025-11-27	@ SAC	55.0	21	16	4	0
2025-11-24	vs SA	36.2	14	11	2	0
2025-11-22	vs MIN	32.5	19	8	0	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts