Jacob MisiorowskiFITTED MODEL

P · MIL · MLB

27.3

Projection

14.5

Floor (p10)

39.2

Ceiling (p90)

Boom (1.5x)

13%

Bust (0.6x)

27.8

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-07-02	vs CIN	26.2	-	-	-	10
2026-06-26	vs CHC	23.9	-	-	-	8
2026-06-19	@ ATL	19.9	-	-	-	7
2026-06-12	vs PHI	54.6	-	-	-	15
2026-06-06	@ COL	26.9	-	-	-	8
2026-05-31	@ HOU	29.4	-	-	-	8
2026-05-25	vs STL	36.0	-	-	-	12
2026-05-19	@ CHC	27.1	-	-	-	8
2026-05-13	vs SD	33.4	-	-	-	10
2026-05-08	vs NYY	33.1	-	-	-	11
2026-05-01	@ WSH	26.8	-	-	-	8
2026-04-25	vs PIT	20.1	-	-	-	9
2026-04-19	@ MIA	22.4	-	-	-	9
2026-04-14	vs TOR	15.0	-	-	-	5
2026-04-07	@ BOS	21.8	-	-	-	10

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts