Hayden BirdsongFITTED MODEL

P · SF · MLB

7.2

Projection

-0.3

Floor (p10)

15.9

Ceiling (p90)

23%

Boom (1.5x)

30%

Bust (0.6x)

7.3

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2025-07-21	@ ATL	-13.6	-	-	-	0
2025-07-06	@ ATH	16.4	-	-	-	6
2025-07-01	@ AZ	10.8	-	-	-	6
2025-06-26	vs MIA	-8.4	-	-	-	1
2025-06-20	vs BOS	5.0	-	-	-	4
2025-06-12	@ COL	14.7	-	-	-	6
2025-06-06	vs ATL	10.9	-	-	-	5
2025-06-01	@ MIA	17.0	-	-	-	5
2025-05-26	@ DET	11.6	-	-	-	6
2025-05-20	vs KC	16.2	-	-	-	4
2025-05-14	vs AZ	2.5	-	-	-	3
2025-05-11	@ MIN	9.3	0	0	0	3
2025-05-05	@ CHC	-3.6	-	-	-	0
2025-05-02	vs COL	5.9	-	-	-	1
2025-04-27	vs TEX	14.9	-	-	-	5

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts