J.P. FranceFITTED MODEL

P · HOU · MLB

1.3

Projection

-3.4

Floor (p10)

5.3

Ceiling (p90)

45%

Boom (1.5x)

40%

Bust (0.6x)

5.1

Avg (last 10)

Stat forecasts

strikeouts (pitcher)

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	H	TB	RBI	K (P)
2026-04-17	vs STL	1.3	-	-	-	1
2026-04-13	@ SEA	3.3	-	-	-	0
2026-04-10	@ SEA	-0.8	-	-	-	3
2025-09-27	@ LAA	12.9	-	-	-	5
2025-09-14	@ ATL	1.6	-	-	-	0
2024-04-23	@ CHC	7.8	-	-	-	6
2024-04-17	vs ATL	12.2	-	-	-	4
2024-04-12	vs TEX	-8.8	-	-	-	3
2024-04-06	@ TEX	8.8	-	-	-	4
2024-03-31	vs NYY	12.6	-	-	-	5

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts