dfsforge / NFL forecasts / Dillon Gabriel pass attempts

Dillon Gabriel: pass attemptsFITTED MODEL

QB · CLE · NFL · baseline 18/game (2025, 10 games)
20
Median
0-34
80% range
10-28
50% range
38
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

02034
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

pass attemptsProbability
10+75%
20+51%
30+18%
40+3%
50+0%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 566 QB pass attempts games, our 80% range covered 79.7% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2025 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Dillon Gabriel player page · all NFL forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts