dfsforge / NFL forecasts / Kendre Miller carries

Kendre Miller: carriesFITTED MODEL

RB · NO · NFL · baseline 6.7/game (2025, 7 games)
5.8
Median
1.3-13.3
80% range
3.0-9.0
50% range
16.9
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

1.35.813.3
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

carriesProbability
2.0+84%
4.0+66%
6.0+49%
8.0+31%
10.0+20%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 939 RB carries games, our 80% range covered 79.9% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2025 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Kendre Miller player page · all NFL forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts