dfsforge / NFL forecasts / Amari Cooper receiving yards

Amari Cooper: receiving yardsFITTED MODEL

WR · FA · NFL · baseline 42/game (2024, 13 games)
36
Median
8-87
80% range
18-59
50% range
103
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

83687
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

receiving yardsProbability
20+71%
40+45%
60+24%
80+13%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 1868 WR receiving yards games, our 80% range covered 81.4% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2024 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Amari Cooper player page · all NFL forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts