dfsforge / NFL forecasts / Dontayvion Wicks targets

Dontayvion Wicks: targetsFITTED MODEL

WR · PHI · NFL · baseline 3.5/game (2025, 13 games)
3.2
Median
0.8-6.7
80% range
1.8-4.9
50% range
8.1
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

0.83.26.7
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

targetsProbability
1.0+87%
2.0+72%
3.0+53%
4.0+36%
5.0+24%
6.0+15%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 1739 WR targets games, our 80% range covered 81.1% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2025 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Dontayvion Wicks player page · all NFL forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts