dfsforge / NFL forecasts / Cooper Rush completions

Cooper Rush: completionsFITTED MODEL

QB · FA · NFL · baseline 8.5/game (2025, 4 games)
9.2
Median
0.0-19.2
80% range
2.5-15.6
50% range
22.5
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

0.09.219.2
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

completionsProbability
5.0+69%
10.0+46%
15.0+27%
20.0+9%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 562 QB completions games, our 80% range covered 79.7% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2025 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Cooper Rush player page · all NFL forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts