dfsforge / NFL forecasts / TreVeyon Henderson rushing yards

TreVeyon Henderson: rushing yardsFITTED MODEL

RB · NE · NFL · baseline 54/game (2025, 17 games)
49
Median
14-97
80% range
28-73
50% range
113
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

144997
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

rushing yardsProbability
20+85%
40+62%
60+38%
80+20%
100+9%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 977 RB rushing yards games, our 80% range covered 77.6% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2025 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: TreVeyon Henderson player page · all NFL forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts