dfsforge / NFL forecasts / Jacoby Brissett pass attempts

Jacoby Brissett: pass attemptsFITTED MODEL

QB · ARI · NFL · baseline 35/game (2025, 14 games)
34
Median
25-44
80% range
30-39
50% range
48
Ceiling (p95)

Outcome distribution

253444
Shaded: the 80% range. Dashed lines: p10 / median / p90.

Chance of reaching

pass attemptsProbability
20+97%
25+89%
30+74%
35+43%
40+22%
45+8%
Model receipt: on the held-out season, across 566 QB pass attempts games, our 80% range covered 79.7% of actual outcomes (target 80%).
Baseline is the 2025 per-game average; the distribution shape is learned per position and per production level from historical game logs. When the weekly slate model is live the baseline switches to the weekly line.
More: Jacoby Brissett player page · all NFL forecasts
Forecasts are probability distributions from dfsforge's variance model, fitted on historical game logs and validated on a held-out season - the coverage number printed above is that holdout result, not a training-set fit. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts