Nick LardisFITTED MODEL

W · CHI · NHL

5.3

Projection

0.2

Floor (p10)

12.9

Ceiling (p90)

25%

Boom (1.5x)

49%

Bust (0.6x)

5.4

Avg (last 15)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	G	SOG	SV
2025-12-31	vs NYI	19.0	1	5	-
2025-12-29	vs PIT	4.5	0	3	-
2025-12-28	@ DAL	4.3	0	2	-
2025-12-24	vs PHI	0.0	0	0	-
2025-12-20	@ OTT	10.0	1	1	-
2025-12-19	@ MTL	0.0	0	0	-
2025-12-17	@ TOR	1.5	0	1	-
2025-12-14	vs DET	4.3	0	2	-
2026-04-16	vs SJ	11.3	1	1	-
2026-04-14	vs BUF	1.5	0	1	-
2026-04-11	vs STL	1.3	0	0	-
2026-04-10	vs CAR	4.5	0	3	-
2026-04-07	@ SJ	1.5	0	1	-
2026-04-05	@ SEA	4.5	0	3	-
2026-04-03	@ EDM	13.0	1	3	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts