Noah OstlundFITTED MODEL

C · BUF · NHL

5.2

Projection

0.2

Floor (p10)

12.8

Ceiling (p90)

25%

Boom (1.5x)

48%

Bust (0.6x)

4.7

Avg (last 15)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	G	A	SOG	SV
2025-12-30	@ STL	10.0	1	0	1	-
2025-12-28	vs BOS	4.5	0	0	3	-
2025-12-24	@ OTT	11.5	1	0	2	-
2025-12-22	@ NJ	4.1	0	0	1	-
2025-12-20	vs NYI	1.5	0	0	1	-
2025-12-19	vs PHI	11.5	1	0	2	-
2025-12-15	@ SEA	10.0	1	0	1	-
2025-12-06	@ WPG	0.0	0	0	0	-
2025-12-04	@ PHI	0.0	0	0	0	-
2025-12-02	vs WPG	1.5	0	0	1	-
2025-11-30	@ MIN	5.0	0	1	0	-
2025-11-28	vs NJ	0.0	0	0	0	-
2025-11-27	@ PIT	1.5	0	0	1	-
2025-11-23	vs CAR	1.5	0	0	1	-
2025-11-22	vs CHI	8.4	0	0	1	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts