Tomas HertlFITTED MODEL

C · VGK · NHL

8.8

Projection

1.4

Floor (p10)

19.0

Ceiling (p90)

22%

Boom (1.5x)

40%

Bust (0.6x)

10.9

Avg (last 15)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	G	A	SOG	SV
2025-12-31	vs NSH	8.0	0	1	2	-
2025-12-30	vs MIN	0.0	0	0	0	-
2025-12-28	vs COL	6.5	0	1	1	-
2025-12-24	vs SJ	13.0	1	0	3	-
2025-12-22	@ EDM	33.3	1	2	5	-
2025-12-21	@ CGY	17.0	0	1	6	-
2025-12-18	vs NJ	17.9	0	1	4	-
2025-12-14	@ CBJ	0.0	0	0	0	-
2025-12-12	@ PHI	1.5	0	0	1	-
2025-12-10	@ NYI	6.0	0	0	4	-
2025-12-08	@ NYR	12.8	1	0	2	-
2025-12-06	@ NJ	10.0	1	0	1	-
2025-12-03	vs CHI	2.8	0	0	1	-
2025-11-30	vs SJ	21.5	2	0	3	-
2025-11-28	vs MTL	13.5	0	0	7	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts