Pontus HolmbergFITTED MODEL

W · TB · NHL

4.5

Projection

0.2

Floor (p10)

11.6

Ceiling (p90)

23%

Boom (1.5x)

49%

Bust (0.6x)

5.2

Avg (last 15)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	G	A	SOG	SV
2025-12-31	@ ANA	1.5	0	0	1	-
2025-12-28	vs MTL	11.5	1	0	2	-
2025-12-23	vs STL	11.5	1	0	2	-
2025-12-21	vs CAR	8.0	0	1	2	-
2025-12-19	vs LA	2.8	0	0	1	-
2025-12-16	vs FLA	1.5	0	0	1	-
2025-12-13	@ NYI	1.5	0	0	1	-
2025-12-12	@ NJ	11.5	1	0	2	-
2025-12-10	@ MTL	12.8	1	0	2	-
2025-12-09	@ TOR	2.8	0	0	1	-
2025-12-07	vs NYI	1.5	0	0	1	-
2025-12-05	vs PIT	4.5	0	0	3	-
2025-12-03	@ NYI	3.0	0	0	2	-
2025-11-29	@ NYR	2.8	0	0	1	-
2025-11-28	@ DET	1.5	0	0	1	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts