Lassi ThomsonFITTED MODEL

D · OTT · NHL

4.2

Projection

0.3

Floor (p10)

9.9

Ceiling (p90)

25%

Boom (1.5x)

45%

Bust (0.6x)

4.4

Avg (last 14)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	A	SOG	SV
2025-10-03	@ STL	7.8	1	1	-
2026-04-20	@ CAR	4.1	0	1	-
2026-04-15	vs TOR	9.5	1	3	-
2026-04-12	@ NJ	4.1	0	1	-
2026-04-11	@ NYI	0.0	0	0	-
2026-04-09	vs FLA	2.8	0	1	-
2026-04-07	vs TB	1.3	0	0	-
2026-04-05	vs CAR	4.1	0	1	-
2026-04-04	vs MIN	8.0	1	2	-
2026-04-02	vs BUF	0.0	0	0	-
2026-03-31	@ FLA	7.8	1	1	-
2026-03-28	@ TB	2.6	0	0	-
2026-03-23	@ NYR	3.0	0	2	-
2023-10-06	vs ARI	6.5	1	1	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts