J.J. MoserFITTED MODEL

D · TB · NHL

6.2

Projection

1.2

Floor (p10)

12.7

Ceiling (p90)

23%

Boom (1.5x)

39%

Bust (0.6x)

7.5

Avg (last 15)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	G	A	SOG	SV
2025-12-31	@ ANA	10.0	1	0	1	-
2025-12-28	vs MTL	6.9	0	0	0	-
2025-12-23	vs STL	2.8	0	0	1	-
2025-12-21	vs CAR	17.9	0	1	4	-
2025-12-19	vs LA	5.6	0	0	2	-
2025-12-16	vs FLA	12.8	1	0	2	-
2025-12-13	@ NYI	21.2	1	0	3	-
2025-12-12	@ NJ	16.0	0	2	4	-
2025-12-10	@ MTL	1.3	0	0	0	-
2025-12-09	@ TOR	4.1	0	0	1	-
2025-12-07	vs NYI	2.8	0	0	1	-
2025-12-05	vs PIT	2.8	0	0	1	-
2025-12-03	@ NYI	1.5	0	0	1	-
2025-11-29	@ NYR	4.5	0	0	3	-
2025-11-28	@ DET	3.0	0	0	2	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts