Brock FaberFITTED MODEL

D · MIN · NHL

11.1

Projection

3.5

Floor (p10)

20.4

Ceiling (p90)

19%

Boom (1.5x)

30%

Bust (0.6x)

10.4

Avg (last 15)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	G	A	SOG	SV
2025-12-31	@ SJ	6.9	0	0	0	-
2025-12-30	@ VGK	12.6	1	0	1	-
2025-12-28	@ WPG	1.3	0	0	0	-
2025-12-24	vs NSH	14.1	1	0	2	-
2025-12-21	vs COL	8.4	0	0	1	-
2025-12-20	vs EDM	9.7	0	0	1	-
2025-12-19	@ CBJ	12.3	0	1	4	-
2025-12-17	vs WSH	16.4	0	1	3	-
2025-12-14	vs BOS	21.4	0	2	3	-
2025-12-13	vs OTT	4.1	0	0	1	-
2025-12-12	vs DAL	9.7	0	0	1	-
2025-12-09	@ SEA	8.4	0	0	1	-
2025-12-07	@ VAN	9.9	0	0	2	-
2025-12-05	@ CGY	12.7	0	0	3	-
2025-12-03	@ EDM	8.2	0	0	0	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts