Avery HayesFITTED MODEL

W · PIT · NHL

6.5

Projection

0.4

Floor (p10)

14.9

Ceiling (p90)

25%

Boom (1.5x)

46%

Bust (0.6x)

5.2

Avg (last 15)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	G	SOG	SV
2025-10-01	@ BUF	13.0	1	3	-
2026-04-15	@ STL	22.8	2	3	-
2026-04-11	vs WSH	1.5	0	1	-
2026-04-09	@ NJ	2.8	0	1	-
2026-03-31	vs DET	0.0	0	0	-
2026-03-30	@ NYI	10.0	1	1	-
2026-03-15	@ UTA	1.3	0	0	-
2026-03-13	@ VGK	11.8	0	5	-
2026-03-10	@ CAR	0.0	0	0	-
2026-03-08	vs BOS	5.8	0	3	-
2026-03-07	vs PHI	1.3	0	0	-
2026-03-06	vs BUF	3.0	0	2	-
2026-03-04	@ BOS	1.5	0	1	-
2026-03-01	vs VGK	0.0	0	0	-
2026-02-28	@ NYR	2.6	0	0	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts