Henry ThrunFITTED MODEL

D · TOR · NHL

4.6

Projection

0.7

Floor (p10)

10.3

Ceiling (p90)

24%

Boom (1.5x)

43%

Bust (0.6x)

3.6

Avg (last 15)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	A	SOG	SV
2025-12-19	@ WSH	4.1	0	1	-
2025-12-17	vs CHI	1.3	0	0	-
2025-12-14	vs EDM	2.8	0	1	-
2025-12-12	vs SJ	3.0	0	2	-
2025-10-04	@ DET	11.9	1	0	-
2024-12-29	vs CGY	1.5	0	1	-
2024-12-28	vs VGK	1.3	0	0	-
2024-12-24	@ VAN	3.0	0	2	-
2024-12-21	@ EDM	4.1	0	1	-
2024-12-20	vs COL	7.3	0	4	-
2024-12-11	@ CAR	0.0	0	0	-
2024-12-07	@ FLA	1.3	0	0	-
2024-12-04	@ WSH	1.3	0	0	-
2024-12-01	@ SEA	2.8	0	1	-
2024-11-29	vs SEA	8.0	1	2	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts