Mike ReillyFITTED MODEL

D · CAR · NHL

4.9

Projection

0.5

Floor (p10)

11.1

Ceiling (p90)

26%

Boom (1.5x)

44%

Bust (0.6x)

3.4

Avg (last 15)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	A	SOG	SV
2025-12-31	@ PIT	9.3	1	2	-
2025-12-30	vs NYR	4.5	0	3	-
2025-12-28	vs DET	3.0	0	2	-
2025-12-24	vs FLA	0.0	0	0	-
2025-12-21	@ TB	1.3	0	0	-
2025-12-07	vs SJ	3.0	0	2	-
2025-12-05	vs TOR	3.0	0	2	-
2025-11-23	@ BUF	2.8	0	1	-
2025-11-22	@ WPG	2.6	0	0	-
2025-11-20	@ MIN	4.5	0	3	-
2025-11-18	@ BOS	6.0	0	4	-
2025-11-16	vs EDM	4.5	0	3	-
2025-11-15	vs VAN	1.5	0	1	-
2025-11-12	vs WSH	2.6	0	0	-
2025-11-10	@ TOR	2.8	0	1	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts