Sam CarrickFITTED MODEL

C · BUF · NHL

3.7

Projection

0.0

Floor (p10)

10.7

Ceiling (p90)

24%

Boom (1.5x)

52%

Bust (0.6x)

3.1

Avg (last 15)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	A	SOG	SV
2025-12-31	@ WSH	4.3	0	2	-
2025-12-30	@ CAR	6.3	1	0	-
2025-12-27	@ NYI	3.0	0	2	-
2025-12-24	@ WSH	0.0	0	0	-
2025-12-22	@ NSH	2.8	0	1	-
2025-12-20	vs PHI	4.5	0	3	-
2025-12-19	@ STL	5.8	0	3	-
2025-12-17	vs VAN	1.5	0	1	-
2025-12-16	vs ANA	0.0	0	0	-
2025-12-14	vs MTL	8.4	0	1	-
2025-12-11	@ CHI	0.0	0	0	-
2025-12-08	vs VGK	1.5	0	1	-
2025-12-06	vs COL	1.5	0	1	-
2025-12-05	@ OTT	5.8	0	3	-
2025-12-03	vs DAL	1.5	0	1	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts