Matt GrzelcykFITTED MODEL

D · CHI · NHL

3.3

Projection

0.0

Floor (p10)

9.0

Ceiling (p90)

28%

Boom (1.5x)

50%

Bust (0.6x)

3.3

Avg (last 15)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	A	SOG	SV
2025-12-31	vs NYI	4.3	0	2	-
2025-12-29	vs PIT	0.0	0	0	-
2025-12-28	@ DAL	1.5	0	1	-
2025-12-24	vs PHI	9.3	1	2	-
2025-12-20	@ OTT	2.6	0	0	-
2025-12-19	@ MTL	7.8	1	1	-
2025-12-17	@ TOR	0.0	0	0	-
2025-12-14	vs DET	4.3	0	2	-
2025-12-13	@ STL	6.0	0	4	-
2025-12-11	vs NYR	6.3	1	0	-
2025-12-08	@ ANA	0.0	0	0	-
2025-12-07	@ LA	2.8	0	1	-
2025-12-05	@ LA	2.6	0	0	-
2025-12-03	@ VGK	1.3	0	0	-
2025-11-30	vs ANA	1.3	0	0	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts