Ben ChiarotFITTED MODEL

D · DET · NHL

6.7

Projection

1.6

Floor (p10)

13.2

Ceiling (p90)

21%

Boom (1.5x)

37%

Bust (0.6x)

6.0

Avg (last 15)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	G	SOG	SV
2025-12-31	vs WPG	2.8	0	1	-
2025-12-29	vs TOR	7.1	0	3	-
2025-12-28	@ CAR	4.1	0	1	-
2025-12-23	vs DAL	6.9	0	0	-
2025-12-21	vs WSH	1.3	0	0	-
2025-12-20	@ WSH	4.1	0	1	-
2025-12-18	vs UTA	2.8	0	1	-
2025-12-17	vs NYI	2.8	0	1	-
2025-12-14	@ CHI	1.5	0	1	-
2025-12-12	@ EDM	5.8	0	3	-
2025-12-11	@ CGY	6.9	0	0	-
2025-12-09	@ VAN	11.0	0	1	-
2025-12-07	@ SEA	9.7	0	1	-
2025-12-05	@ CBJ	8.2	0	0	-
2025-12-03	vs BOS	15.6	1	3	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts