Mathew BarzalFITTED MODEL

C · NYI · NHL

10.1

Projection

2.7

Floor (p10)

20.2

Ceiling (p90)

20%

Boom (1.5x)

37%

Bust (0.6x)

8.8

Avg (last 15)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	G	A	SOG	SV
2025-12-31	@ CHI	5.0	0	1	0	-
2025-12-28	@ CBJ	3.0	0	0	2	-
2025-12-27	vs NYR	6.0	0	0	4	-
2025-12-24	vs NJ	1.5	0	0	1	-
2025-12-20	@ BUF	20.8	1	1	4	-
2025-12-17	@ DET	6.5	0	1	1	-
2025-12-13	vs TB	9.1	0	1	1	-
2025-12-12	vs ANA	9.3	0	1	2	-
2025-12-10	vs VGK	8.0	0	1	2	-
2025-12-07	@ FLA	10.0	1	0	1	-
2025-12-05	vs COL	27.5	1	2	4	-
2025-12-03	vs TB	4.5	0	0	3	-
2025-11-30	vs WSH	3.0	0	0	2	-
2025-11-28	vs PHI	3.0	0	0	2	-
2025-11-27	vs BOS	14.1	1	0	2	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts