Alexey ToropchenkoFITTED MODEL

W · STL · NHL

4.1

Projection

0.0

Floor (p10)

11.2

Ceiling (p90)

23%

Boom (1.5x)

51%

Bust (0.6x)

4.3

Avg (last 15)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	A	SOG	SV
2025-12-30	vs BUF	11.2	0	2	-
2025-12-28	vs NSH	5.8	0	3	-
2025-12-23	@ TB	6.9	0	0	-
2025-12-20	@ FLA	1.3	0	0	-
2025-12-19	vs NYR	7.3	0	4	-
2025-12-18	vs WPG	6.9	0	0	-
2025-12-16	vs NSH	1.5	0	1	-
2025-11-30	vs UTA	4.3	0	2	-
2025-11-25	@ NYR	9.7	0	1	-
2025-11-22	@ NYI	0.0	0	0	-
2025-11-21	@ PHI	0.0	0	0	-
2025-11-19	@ TOR	0.0	0	0	-
2025-11-16	vs VGK	2.8	0	1	-
2025-11-15	vs PHI	0.0	0	0	-
2025-11-12	vs CGY	6.5	1	1	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts