Timothy LiljegrenFITTED MODEL

D · WSH · NHL

5.7

Projection

1.3

Floor (p10)

11.9

Ceiling (p90)

23%

Boom (1.5x)

41%

Bust (0.6x)

5.1

Avg (last 15)

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	SOG	SV
2025-12-19	vs DAL	2.8	1	-
2025-12-17	vs CGY	2.6	0	-
2025-12-12	@ TOR	6.9	0	-
2025-12-10	@ PHI	9.5	0	-
2025-12-07	@ CAR	2.6	0	-
2025-12-06	@ DAL	4.1	1	-
2025-12-04	vs WSH	4.3	2	-
2025-12-02	vs UTA	2.8	1	-
2025-11-30	@ VGK	8.2	0	-
2025-11-28	vs VAN	9.7	1	-
2025-11-27	@ COL	4.1	1	-
2025-11-24	vs BOS	1.5	1	-
2025-11-23	vs OTT	1.5	1	-
2025-11-21	vs LA	9.5	0	-
2025-11-14	@ CGY	6.9	0	-

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts