Josiah DeguaraFITTED MODEL

TE · · NFL

0.6

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

30%

Boom (1.5x)

62%

Bust (0.6x)

1.0

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	@ LAR	9.5	15	2
2025 wk 17	@ CIN	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 16	vs ATL	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 14	vs LAR	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 12	vs JAX	1.6	6	1
2025 wk 11	vs SF	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 2	vs CAR	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 17	vs TEN	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 16	@ LV	1.4	4	1
2024 wk 14	@ TEN	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 11	@ DET	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 6	@ CHI	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 5	vs IND	1.2	2	1
2024 wk 3	@ BUF	1.8	8	1
2023 wk 16	@ CAR	0.0	0	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts