David Martin-RobinsonFITTED MODEL

TE · TEN · NFL

2.6

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

27%

Boom (1.5x)

51%

Bust (0.6x)

1.0

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	@ JAX	2.4	14	1
2025 wk 17	vs NO	1.9	9	1
2025 wk 16	vs KC	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 15	@ SF	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 14	@ CLE	1.6	6	1
2025 wk 13	vs JAX	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 11	vs HOU	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 9	vs LAC	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 8	@ IND	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 6	@ LV	7.1	1	1
2025 wk 1	@ DEN	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 18	vs HOU	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 17	@ JAX	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 16	@ IND	1.6	6	1
2024 wk 14	vs JAX	0.0	0	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts