Josh AllenFITTED MODEL

QB · BUF · NFL

21.7

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

10%

Boom (1.5x)

17%

Bust (0.6x)

21.7

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

passing yards · completions · pass attempts · rushing yards · carries

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Pass Yds	Rush Yds
2025 wk 17	vs PHI	23.2	262	27
2025 wk 16	@ CLE	6.9	130	17
2025 wk 15	@ NE	24.5	193	48
2025 wk 14	vs CIN	37.8	251	78
2025 wk 13	@ PIT	16.7	123	38
2025 wk 12	@ HOU	8.1	253	20
2025 wk 11	vs TB	42.7	317	40
2025 wk 10	@ MIA	19.3	306	31
2025 wk 9	vs KC	28.8	273	19
2025 wk 8	@ CAR	23.2	163	7
2025 wk 6	@ ATL	15.4	180	42
2025 wk 5	vs NE	19.4	253	53
2025 wk 4	vs NO	24.9	209	45
2025 wk 3	vs MIA	23.0	213	25
2025 wk 2	@ NYJ	11.8	148	59

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts