Elijah ArroyoFITTED MODEL

TE · SEA · NFL

3.4

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

25%

Boom (1.5x)

47%

Bust (0.6x)

2.8

Avg (last 13)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 14	@ ATL	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 13	vs MIN	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 12	@ TEN	1.5	5	1
2025 wk 11	@ LAR	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 10	vs ARI	1.5	5	1
2025 wk 9	@ WAS	10.9	29	2
2025 wk 7	vs HOU	6.2	42	4
2025 wk 6	@ JAX	1.6	6	1
2025 wk 5	vs TB	2.0	10	1
2025 wk 4	@ ARI	6.4	44	2
2025 wk 3	vs NO	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 2	@ PIT	5.1	31	2
2025 wk 1	vs SF	1.7	7	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts