Chase BrownFITTED MODEL

RB · CIN · NFL

15.7

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

17%

Boom (1.5x)

24%

Bust (0.6x)

17.4

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

rushing yards · carries · receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rush Yds	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	vs CLE	19.0	72	18	4
2025 wk 17	vs ARI	29.1	101	40	3
2025 wk 16	@ MIA	32.9	66	43	4
2025 wk 15	vs BAL	16.0	53	37	7
2025 wk 14	@ BUF	18.5	23	12	3
2025 wk 13	@ BAL	18.3	78	35	7
2025 wk 12	vs NE	15.0	107	23	2
2025 wk 11	@ PIT	18.7	99	28	6
2025 wk 9	vs CHI	19.2	37	75	8
2025 wk 8	vs NYJ	25.5	73	32	3
2025 wk 7	vs PIT	12.0	108	-8	2
2025 wk 6	@ GB	8.9	42	7	2
2025 wk 5	vs DET	11.8	27	21	7
2025 wk 4	@ DEN	10.1	40	31	3
2025 wk 3	@ MIN	6.0	3	17	4

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts