Joshua PalmerFITTED MODEL

WR · BUF · NFL

2.9

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

21%

Boom (1.5x)

53%

Bust (0.6x)

4.8

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

rushing yards · receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	vs NYJ	1.1	1	1
2025 wk 17	vs PHI	2.2	12	1
2025 wk 16	@ CLE	1.2	2	1
2025 wk 15	@ NE	2.6	16	1
2025 wk 12	@ HOU	4.1	21	2
2025 wk 11	vs TB	3.7	17	2
2025 wk 6	@ ATL	8.0	60	2
2025 wk 5	vs NE	5.6	36	2
2025 wk 4	vs NO	4.5	25	2
2025 wk 3	vs MIA	1.5	5	1
2025 wk 2	@ NYJ	6.7	47	2
2025 wk 1	vs BAL	11.1	61	5
2024 wk 17	@ NE	8.1	41	4
2024 wk 16	vs DEN	9.1	41	3
2024 wk 15	vs TB	3.0	10	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts