Tyjae SpearsFITTED MODEL

RB · TEN · NFL

8.7

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

25%

Boom (1.5x)

37%

Bust (0.6x)

9.8

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

rushing yards · carries · receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rush Yds	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	@ JAX	9.7	18	9	7
2025 wk 17	vs NO	1.1	2	-1	1
2025 wk 16	vs KC	21.5	52	53	5
2025 wk 15	@ SF	5.6	34	2	2
2025 wk 14	@ CLE	6.7	19	28	2
2025 wk 13	vs JAX	8.4	-1	25	6
2025 wk 12	vs SEA	6.5	4	21	4
2025 wk 11	vs HOU	8.4	3	31	5
2025 wk 9	vs LAC	9.2	26	36	3
2025 wk 8	@ IND	17.2	59	23	3
2025 wk 7	vs NE	7.0	22	18	3
2025 wk 6	@ LV	9.0	31	19	4
2025 wk 5	@ ARI	1.4	14	0	0
2024 wk 17	@ JAX	13.3	95	8	3
2024 wk 16	@ IND	21.6	27	39	3

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts