Stone SmarttFITTED MODEL

TE · PHI · NFL

4.3

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

25%

Boom (1.5x)

43%

Bust (0.6x)

3.1

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 17	vs NE	3.8	18	2
2025 wk 16	@ NO	8.4	34	5
2025 wk 15	@ JAX	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 14	vs MIA	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 10	vs CLE	0.0	0	0
2025 wk 6	vs DEN	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 17	@ NE	4.3	23	2
2024 wk 16	vs DEN	6.7	37	3
2024 wk 15	vs TB	8.0	50	5
2024 wk 14	@ KC	8.4	54	3
2024 wk 13	@ ATL	1.3	3	1
2024 wk 8	vs NO	0.0	0	0
2024 wk 7	@ ARI	4.1	31	1
2024 wk 6	@ DEN	2.0	10	1
2024 wk 3	@ PIT	0.0	0	0

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts