Drew SampleFITTED MODEL

TE · CIN · NFL

2.3

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

28%

Boom (1.5x)

53%

Bust (0.6x)

2.7

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rush Yds	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	vs CLE	4.7	0	17	3
2025 wk 17	vs ARI	1.8	0	8	1
2025 wk 16	@ MIA	5.1	0	31	2
2025 wk 15	vs BAL	3.2	0	12	2
2025 wk 13	@ BAL	2.7	3	14	1
2025 wk 12	vs NE	1.0	0	0	1
2025 wk 7	vs PIT	0.0	0	0	0
2025 wk 6	@ GB	0.8	0	-2	1
2025 wk 5	vs DET	0.9	0	-1	1
2025 wk 3	@ MIN	10.0	0	20	2
2025 wk 2	vs JAX	1.7	0	7	1
2025 wk 1	@ CLE	0.0	0	0	0
2024 wk 18	@ PIT	5.4	0	14	4
2024 wk 17	vs DEN	1.3	0	3	1
2024 wk 16	vs CLE	2.2	0	12	1

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts