Cole KmetFITTED MODEL

TE · CHI · NFL

3.1

Projection

Floor (p10)

Ceiling (p90)

26%

Boom (1.5x)

48%

Bust (0.6x)

5.0

Avg (last 15)

Stat forecasts

receiving yards · receptions · targets

Full outcome distributions - median, 80% range, and the chance of clearing a line.

Recent games

Date	Opp	FP	Rec Yds	Rec
2025 wk 18	vs DET	5.6	16	2
2025 wk 17	@ SF	3.6	16	2
2025 wk 16	vs GB	3.4	14	2
2025 wk 15	vs CLE	4.8	28	2
2025 wk 14	@ GB	6.2	42	2
2025 wk 13	@ PHI	12.6	36	3
2025 wk 12	vs PIT	1.3	3	1
2025 wk 11	@ MIN	9.5	45	5
2025 wk 10	vs NYG	1.5	5	1
2025 wk 9	@ CIN	2.0	10	1
2025 wk 7	vs NO	2.6	16	1
2025 wk 6	@ WAS	1.0	0	1
2025 wk 4	@ LV	7.6	46	3
2025 wk 3	vs DAL	8.0	10	1
2025 wk 2	@ DET	4.9	29	2

Projections are dfsforge model output (current form blend); floor/ceiling are the 10th/90th percentile of our holdout-validated outcome distribution. Research output, not advice. Open the app · Accuracy receipts